Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.148623 0.171938 0.197682 0.228214 0.263440 0.302809 0.350160
2025-11-09 0.106908 0.136787 0.173175 0.220747 0.281319 0.355905 0.454814
2025-11-16 0.088956 0.122084 0.165274 0.225696 0.308083 0.416590 0.570572
2025-11-23 0.075643 0.109934 0.157199 0.227082 0.327846 0.468038 0.678292
2025-11-30 0.066428 0.101453 0.152112 0.230689 0.349604 0.523082 0.795997
2025-12-07 0.057156 0.091266 0.142778 0.226183 0.357996 0.558632 0.888078
2025-12-14 0.050106 0.083330 0.135522 0.223411 0.367915 0.596559 0.986958
2025-12-21 0.045415 0.078427 0.132214 0.226136 0.386316 0.649007 1.114039
2025-12-28 0.042839 0.076626 0.133583 0.236472 0.418042 0.725929 1.289658
2026-01-04 0.039902 0.073784 0.132768 0.242784 0.443291 0.794181 1.457407
2026-01-11 0.037172 0.070938 0.131542 0.248068 0.467038 0.861869 1.631008
2026-01-18 0.034303 0.067466 0.128747 0.250046 0.484736 0.920163 1.793157
2026-01-25 0.031037 0.062910 0.123551 0.247118 0.493279 0.963198 1.932855
2026-02-01 0.027542 0.057493 0.116123 0.239026 0.490940 0.985410 2.034778
2026-02-08 0.025931 0.055676 0.115511 0.244383 0.515828 1.062993 2.255777
2026-02-15 0.024093 0.053157 0.113178 0.245883 0.532852 1.126352 2.454108
2026-02-22 0.022666 0.051339 0.112073 0.249787 0.555238 1.202783 2.688074
2026-03-01 0.020622 0.047919 0.107183 0.244910 0.558026 1.237996 2.836035
2026-03-08 0.018943 0.045124 0.103343 0.241909 0.564567 1.281810 3.007652
2026-03-15 0.017872 0.043608 0.102184 0.244859 0.584886 1.358026 3.261332
2026-03-22 0.017457 0.043601 0.104458 0.256047 0.625529 1.484243 3.645467
2026-03-29 0.016767 0.042844 0.104893 0.262878 0.656505 1.591122 3.994770
2026-04-05 0.016051 0.041940 0.104880 0.268599 0.685362 1.695816 4.349930